In a recent Emerson College poll, President Joe Biden’s support among Iowa’s Democratic caucus fell by 19 percentage points, moving from 69% in May to 50% now. The study also indicates decreased support for Robert Kennedy Jr., now at 9% from an earlier 11%, and Marianne Williamson, now at 7% from a previous 10%. A notable 34% of those polled remain undecided.
This is the first poll after the Democratic National Committee decided to remove Iowa’s priority status in the presidential nominating sequence. Emerson College Polling’s executive director Spencer Kimball commented, “Biden’s caucus support has seen a decline, with a significant number of voters still on the fence. Particularly among young and women voters, Biden’s backing has dwindled: only 38% of Democratic voters under 30 support him in a caucus, and 41% of women remain undecided.”
Further data from the poll revealed that 33% of respondents approve of Biden’s presidential performance, while 54% don’t. Since May, his approval rate has fallen by 2 points, while his disapproval rate is 54%.
Interestingly, 64% stated they are committed to voting for their 2024 candidate, while 35% are open to changing their vote. Kimball added, “Introducing a third-party candidate could shift the election landscape, drawing votes from both major parties.”
This poll, conducted between September 7-9, has a margin of error of ±3.2 percentage points.
In recent Iowa polls by Emerson College, it’s not just Biden experiencing a dip in support. For the Iowa Republican caucus voters, Trump’s backing has reduced from 62% in May to its current 49%.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and former Vice President Mike Pence also saw diminished numbers. DeSantis dropped from 20% to 14%, while Pence decreased from 5% to 3%.
Conservative entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and Senator Tim Scott (R-S.C.) seem to be making strides, each gaining five percentage points. Ramaswamy’s support grew from 2% to 7%, while Scott’s jumped from 3% to 8%.
Additionally, former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley and North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum experienced modest increases in their numbers, gaining 2 points. Haley’s support moved from 5% to 7%, and Burgum’s from 1% to 3%.
According to the poll, 6% of Republican caucus voters remain undecided.