Harris is such a bad candidate that even the media is struggling to hide the fact that she probably isn’t going to win in November – and new polling shows Trump and Harris virtually neck-and-neck…which means Trump is winning.
Because we know the media never admits Trump is going to win.
Donald Trump’s chances of winning the 2024 election have seen a significant boost, according to The Economist’s latest election forecast. Trump’s odds have improved from a 2 in 5 chance last week to a 1 in 2 chance now, with his projected Electoral College votes rising from 257 to 264. Meanwhile, Vice President Kamala Harris, who is the Democratic candidate, also has a 1 in 2 chance of winning, though her forecasted Electoral College votes have dipped slightly from 281 to 274. This shift suggests an increasingly competitive race between the two candidates as Election Day approaches.
Several key swing states, including Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, and Georgia, have shifted in Trump’s favor, further contributing to his surge in the forecast. A recent InsiderAdvantage poll conducted between September 29-30 across these battleground states shows Trump leading Harris by 1 percentage point in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina. In Georgia, the two candidates are tied at 48 percent. These polls had a margin of error ranging from 3 to 3.7 points, indicating that the race remains tight, with both candidates still in contention for victory in these crucial states.
Here’s what mainstream, left-wing news outlet CNN thinks:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyWEtW5B1zo
Quinnipiac University conducted another poll from September 25-29, showing Trump with a 6-point lead over Harris in Georgia (50 percent to 44 percent). In North Carolina, the poll results were closer, with Trump leading by just 2 points, 49 percent to 47 percent. Both of these states will be critical in determining the final outcome of the election, and even slight shifts in polling could significantly affect the Electoral College results.
Additional polling from The Washington Post and Emerson College shows similar trends, with Trump maintaining a narrow lead in Arizona and North Carolina. Emerson College’s poll showed Trump leading Harris 50 percent to 47 percent in Arizona, while the North Carolina poll indicated a 49 percent to 48 percent advantage for Trump. These polls reinforce the idea that Trump is gaining momentum in key battleground states.
On the other hand, Kamala Harris has received positive news from Michigan, where a Napolitan News poll conducted between September 24-27 showed her leading Trump by 3 percentage points (50 percent to 47 percent). Michigan, a key battleground state, could play a pivotal role in determining the outcome of the election, and Harris’s lead there is a significant advantage.
However, while Harris is leading in some critical swing states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, the Electoral College is still considered a toss-up by analysts. FiveThirtyEight’s model currently shows Harris leading the popular vote by a 3:1 margin, but there remains a 20 percent chance that she could win the popular vote and lose the Electoral College, a scenario that would favor Trump.
As the race continues to tighten, both campaigns are likely to focus on securing wins in these swing states, where small changes in polling numbers could have a major impact on the final outcome. With the Electoral College still up for grabs, the 2024 presidential election is shaping up to be one of the most closely contested races in recent memory.
