A study commissioned by the Democrats indicated that among voters who oppose both major party frontrunners in three crucial battleground states, Donald Trump had a slight advantage over President Biden.
The survey was done by GQR (a Democratic firm) on behalf of Unite the Country (a Biden Super Pac). It found that among self-described “double-haters” in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Trump leads Biden 51% to 48%.
The majority of voters in the three states are undecided (50% each).
About one in six of the 3,000 probable voters surveyed (1,00 in each state) identified as “double haters,” with men with college degrees and Republican affiliation being the most common demographics.
Of that group, 59% indicated they had a “very unfavorable” opinion of Trump at age 77, compared to 49% for Biden at age 80.
In 2016, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton and became the 45th president of the United States by winning all three of these states. This made him the first Republican to do so since Ronald Reagan in 1984 and the first to win any of the three since George H.W. Bush in 1988.
In 2020, Biden successfully returned all three states to the Democratic column, but Trump will return to the president if he successfully defends all the states he won in 2016.
RealClearPolitics’ most recent polling data shows Trump with a 1.6-point lead over Biden in Pennsylvania and a 0.4-point lead over Biden in Michigan.
The nationwide RCP aggregate of surveys shows Trump with a slim lead of 0.7 percentage points over Biden. Since 2004, no Republican candidate has been victorious at the polls.
The poll indicated that the four criminal charges against Trump and his attempts to remain in office after 2020 contributed to the hesitation of “double-haters” to vote for him.